{"id":1526,"date":"2025-08-27T18:12:00","date_gmt":"2025-08-27T16:12:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/materiality.astrotea.pl\/?p=1526"},"modified":"2025-12-07T23:55:22","modified_gmt":"2025-12-07T22:55:22","slug":"what-is-scenario-analysis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/materiality.pl\/en\/wiedza-i-praktyka\/czym-jest-analiza-scenariuszowa\/","title":{"rendered":"What is scenario analysis?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Scenario analysis at the LUG Group \u2013 the key to business resilience and competitive advantage<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-7387b849 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:100%\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignleft size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"536\" src=\"https:\/\/materiality.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/Grafika-post-o-raporcie-LUG-v1-1024x536.webp\" alt=\"what is scenario analysis\" class=\"wp-image-1527\" srcset=\"https:\/\/materiality.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/Grafika-post-o-raporcie-LUG-v1-1024x536.webp 1024w, https:\/\/materiality.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/Grafika-post-o-raporcie-LUG-v1-300x157.webp 300w, https:\/\/materiality.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/Grafika-post-o-raporcie-LUG-v1-768x402.webp 768w, https:\/\/materiality.pl\/wp-content\/uploads\/Grafika-post-o-raporcie-LUG-v1.webp 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Scenario analysis is a tool that allows companies such as the LUG Group to assess the resilience of their business models and value chains to climate change and prepare for future market challenges. The analysis is based on at least two scenarios \u2013 one in line with the Paris Agreement (keeping the temperature increase to 2\u00b0C by reducing greenhouse gas emissions), and the other assuming a business-as-usual scenario, i.e., no effective measures to reduce emissions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">MATERIALITY experts guided the LUG Group through an analysis process based on two extreme climate scenarios: Paris-aligned and Paris-missed, covering the short (2024-2030), medium (2031-2040), and long (2041-2050) time horizons. The study was conducted in accordance with the SA:CCR Scenario Analysis: Climate-Change Resilience methodology and based on IPCC and IEA reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nine key elements of the LUG Light Factory value chain were analyzed:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>raw materials and components,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>delivery logistics,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>energy and fuels,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>design and production,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>distribution and sales,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>customer logistics,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>customers,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>use phase,<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>waste.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The results of the scenario analysis provided the LUG Group Management Board with strategic knowledge about the potential threats and opportunities associated with climate change. This is key support in making business decisions, building competitive advantage, and obtaining financing and investor confidence. The analysis was included in the latest <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ri.lug.com.pl\/mailing_lug\/files\/download\/RELACJE%20INWESTORSKIE\/2025\/RR_GK_LUG%20S.A_za_2024.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Report on the sustainable development of the LUG Group<\/a>.<br><br>The LUG Group has been cooperating with MATERIALITY experts for over eight years, consistently implementing its sustainable development strategy and building value for customers, partners, and investors.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>How to assess the resilience of a company's business model and strategy to climate change? Read about how we guided the LUG Group through this process.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1527,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[22,33,34],"class_list":["post-1526","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-case-studies","tag-kryzys-klimatyczny","tag-lancuch-wartosci","tag-ryzyka-i-szanse"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Czym jest analiza scenariuszowa? &#8226; MATERIALITY<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/materiality.pl\/en\/knowledge-and-practice\/what-is-scenario-analysis\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Czym jest analiza scenariuszowa? &#8226; MATERIALITY\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Jak zbada\u0107 odporno\u015b\u0107 modelu biznesowego i strategii sp\u00f3\u0142ki na zmian\u0119 klimatu? 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